Quebec’s separatist leader just dropped a bombshell: if his party wins the next election, they’ll still hold an independence referendum—but not until January 2029, to dodge the chaos of Trump’s potential presidency. Why? Because American political turmoil could distort Quebec’s sovereignty debate, turning it into a global circus instead of a calm, reasoned national conversation. Past U.S. moves—like tariffs and “51st state” rhetoric—have actually strengthened Canadian unity in some places, even sparking Alberta’s own secession push. Polls and history show Quebecers are deeply divided, having rejected sovereignty twice before, most recently by a razor-thin margin in ’95. The Parti Québécois, founded in the ’60s and once in power without a vote, is betting that waiting out the U.S. political storm will give them the clearest possible path to decide Quebec’s future on its own terms.
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