With interest rates, inflation, oil prices, Treasury yields, and stock market valuations all competing for investors’ attention, what should you be watching now?
As the S&P 500 approaches record territory, can markets sustain a breakout, or are new risks beginning to emerge?
Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat, and break down the economic, investing, and consumer stories shaping markets this week.
We’ll discuss what the latest economic and market signals could mean for stocks, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and consumers, while separating short-term headlines from longer-term financial considerations.
0:00 - INTRO
1:08 - Trump - Xi Summit - Much ado about nothing
2:17 - Possible Export Ban on Diesel Exports?
3:35 - Earnings Growth Estimates are Very Large - That's a Risk
5:34 - Markets Hold Up Above Moving Averages
5:56 - Factor Rotation Model performance
- VTV Value Index Under Pressure
- MGK - Large Cap Growth Stocks proxy
9:48 - Fed Rate Hike Coordinated for Yen Carry Trade? (No, a martket-driven rate hike)
12:28 - Gold Correlation with Real Interest Rates
12:40 - Why Rotate into Financials? (Factor Rotation Model)
13:52 - How do Earnings Grow When the Middle Class is Getting Squeezed? (K-Shaped Economy)
16:58 - Stock Analysis: AMD (NOT a recommendation)
20:10 - Income Producing ETF's in Preparation for Retirement (JPQ) (NOT a Recommendation)
22:09 - Money Moving Out of Stocks into Fixed Income? (charts)
24:49- Tracking Forward Earnings Estimates Revisions
26:05 - Dealing with Gloom-and-Doom Narratives
30:07 - Series: Investing for the Long Term (link is below)
31:54 - Cryptocurrency-A (Tether) Holding US Treasuries; StableCoin, Solana
35:17 - How much Higher Will Rates Run this Year?
35:40 - M2 Correlation with Inflation? (All money is lent into existence)
37:18 - RSP vs SPY and Sector Rotation
38:22 - Late Year Market Dip Yet?
39:11 - Lance is rich and out of touch?? (There will always be the poor among us...)
44:16 - Where did this inflation come from? (We don't want deflation)
46:50 - How We're (really) Doing Financially (chart)
50:14 - What Danny Wears as Market Indicator
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Is Money Rotating From Growth to Value?,"
https://youtu.be/46Y-k5LfWxA
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share
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Watch our previous show, "Can Your Kids Afford to Invest Without You?"
https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:"
"Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5)"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/
"K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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