The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years, but for investors, the bigger question is what comes next.
Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed said, what Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled about inflation and future monetary policy, and why the Fed's updated rate projections matter for markets. With most policymakers anticipating another rate increase this year, is this the beginning of a new tightening cycle, or could the Fed be closer to "one and done"?
What could higher rates mean for stocks, bonds, economic growth, and portfolio strategy as investors look toward the Fed's remaining meetings in 2026?
0:00 INTRO
1:12 - Retail Sales Better than Expected
3:20 - Market Reaction to Rate Hike, Dot Plots, & Commentary
5:14 - Room for a Rally? Odds vs History
10:40 - Mrs. Roberts' Hamburger Date
13:37 - Fed Hikes Rates: Policy Mistake?
17:02 - No Rate Cuts Next Year?
19:50 - Why Would the Fed Raise Rates? (Looking at PCE)
24:02 - It's All About the Bond Market
24:44 - Kevin Warsh' non-Forward Guidance & Dot Plots
27:16 - What Problems Will Rate Hike Cause?
30:08 - This is screwy
31:06 - The Neutral Rate is Already Restrictive
32:27 - Has the Bond Market Already Done the Fed's Job? (article)
35:44 - When the Fed Fights Inflation, it Makes Your Life Worse
37:18 - Is This a Start of a New Rate Cycle, or Continuation of Past Rates?
38:46 - This is an Oil Problem
39:26 - Fed Funds Rate History (chart)
42:17 - Give it a few days...
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's Before the Bell report, "What Fed Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks,"
https://youtu.be/x3R2_RXa6ew
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Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Will The Fed Do?"
https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed’s Job?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/has-the-bond-market-already-done-the-feds-job/
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