Hunter Greene’s second Tommy John surgery just derailed his 2027 season and cast a shadow over his future, leaving the Reds with a $15 million gamble on a pitcher who won’t pitch until 2028 — the final year of his contract. With no guarantee he’ll even return as a reliable starter, and trade value likely gone, the team faces a brutal dilemma: invest in hope or pivot fast. The odds aren’t in his favor, and the timeline is brutal — no throwing until next year, rehab only. It’s a high-stakes waiting game with no safety net, forcing the Reds to choose between rebuilding around uncertainty or risking their window to contend.

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