Andy Burnham’s honeymoon phase is fading as he braces for tough calls on budget, welfare, migration, and prisons. With Chancellor John Healey locked into strict fiscal rules and no room to raise taxes, the government faces a funding crunch. Welfare reports reveal systemic flaws in disability support and youth employment, sparking fears of backlash from charities. Migration plans include longer waiting periods and potential deportations—even for those already settled—with Burnham weighing exemptions for vital workers. Meanwhile, prison overcrowding looms, forcing revisions to early release policies, especially excluding violent offenders, as the inmate count threatens to hit 100,000 by 2030.

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