Queensland politics is shifting as One Nation’s support dips to 20%, while the LNP, led by David Crisafulli, surges to 34%—now ahead of Labor. New polling from July-August shows voters responding to budget moves and parliamentary scrutiny, with Crisafulli still leading as preferred premier (41% vs. Miles’ 22%), though the gap’s narrowing. One Nation’s peak here rivals their historic 1998 high—but they have no MPs and face a 2028 election horizon. The race remains fluid, with momentum favoring the incumbent LNP for now.

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