Kalshi, the prediction market platform, is in legal hot water after being forced to block users in Washington state—with Michigan and Nevada likely next—amid accusations of running an illegal gambling operation. As the CFTC steps in to shape the future of this booming industry, it’s weighing whether these markets should be regulated as financial tools or banned as gambling. Kalshi fights back in court, arguing fairness: if others can operate, so can they. The debate rages on, pitting free-market advocates against regulators and lawmakers who see potential risks—and the CFTC is racing to create clear rules before Congress moves in.

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