Donald Trump has once again stepped back from a threatened major attack on Iran. So has America lost the Iran War? Or is Trump’s apparent hesitation part of a longer strategy to exhaust the Iranian regime?
Aimen and Thomas discuss:
Whether Iran has outmanoeuvred Trump despite America’s overwhelming military superiority
Aimen’s three possible futures for the war: US withdrawal, prolonged attrition or extreme escalation
Why an American retreat could unleash an even more destructive regional war
Israel, the Gulf states and Pakistan in a Middle East without American restraint
The revival of the US–Iran MoU and President Pezeshkian’s lack of authority over the IRGC
America’s possible ‘death by a thousand cuts’ strategy against Iran’s military and economy
Iran’s collapsing currency, soaring inflation and ability to withstand prolonged pressure
Trump’s highly personal style of government and the absence of a stable American war strategy
The limits of air power and America’s repeated failure to convert destruction into political victory
The danger of nuclear escalation if Iran races towards a bomb or misreads Trump’s restraint as weakness
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Conflicted is a Message Heard production.
Executive Producers: Jake Warren & Max Warren.
Produced and edited by Thomas Small.
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